Secure Your Tomato Volumes with Brusco to Avoid Expected Future Supply Disruption.
Tomato Market 2025 Highlights
- Adverse weather conditions across many parts of Europe are expected to reduce crop sizes in 2025, adding further pressure to regional supply
- While California’s bumper harvest contributes to global stability, European buyers gain little benefit due to import taxes. Instead, nearby regions such as Bulgaria, Turkey, and
Egypt remain the most cost-effective alternative sourcing options. - Continued low raw material prices, following high levels of carry-over stock from 2024, have led to reduced planting activity.
- By reducing the planting activity of tomatoes, growers are trying to support an increase in raw material prices in 2026, allowing them to generate greater income from their crops.
Latest Update: 22/09/2025 – Click here to download full report.
The Global Tomato Production Landscape
China
Planned hectares: 43,670
Forecast: 5.1 million tonnes
Note: Transition period follows until 10–mid November before Nili crop harvest begins (mainly Sharkia, Beni Suif, Al-Fayoum, and limited quantities from Al-Minya, which peaks in the winter crop).
Italy
Forecast: 5.5 million tonnes
Heavy rains in late August in the North caused non harvesting days, and in the Centre/South, factories are at less than 50% capacity due to poor ripening.
Spain
Forecast: 2.4 million tonnes
Harvest delayed by 31st August, only 47% processed.
Portugal
Forecast: 1.4 –1.35 million tonnes
Irregular ripening 25-30% green tomatoes left behind in some fields.
Turkey
Forecast: Reduced to 2.2 million tonnes
Southern region harvest completed 5 September.
Egypt
Forecast: 780,000 tonnes (unchanged)
Transition period follows until 10–mid November before Nili crop harvest begins (mainly Sharkia, Beni Suif, Al-Fayoum, and limited quantities from Al-Minya, which peaks in the winter crop)..
Greece
Forecast: 450,000 tonnes
Harvest progressing smoothly, no issues reported.
Bulgaria
Forecast: 43,000 tonnes
About 50% harvested; factories running at full capacity.
Why Growers Are Pulling Back
Following high carry-over stock levels in 2024 and continued weak pricing, growers are now intentionally reducing planted acreage in 2025 to avoid another surplus in 2026. This strategic shift is aimed at:
- Preventing oversupply in 2026
- Supporting an increase in raw material prices
- Stabilising farmer income
- Result: Tighter availability in 2025, and potentially significant shortages in 2026.
What You Should Do Now
- If you currently source from Spain, consider alternative origins such as Bulgaria, Turkey and Egypt, who offer more reliable and cost-effective options.
- Lock in your 2025 tomato requirements with Brusco today.
- Secure best pricing while supply is still being allocated
- Guarantee volume in a year of reduced global production
- Protect your business against the pricing spikes expected in 2026
Talk to the Team
If you haven’t already shared your 2025 volumes, now is the time. Talk to our Tomatoes Expert, Sara Farrow today on sara.farrow@brusco.co.uk.
Latest Update: 22/09/2025 – Click here to download full report.
